Wednesday 25 February 2015

LATEST #GE2015 BETTING ODDS FROM SHARPEANGLE

Written by Graham Sharpe

POLITICAL ODDS UPDATE.........

Bookmakers William Hill believe David Cameron WILL take part in one or more multi-Party (4 or more parties participating) General Election tv debates. Despite the fact that he did not commit himself when asked during Prime Minister's Question Time, Hills offer 3/10 (stake £10 to win £3) that he WILL participate in such a debate; and 12/5 (stake £5 to win £12) that he will fail to do so.

'Mr Cameron is yet to confirm that he will be part of a multi-Party tv debate, but the threat by the broadcasters to 'empty-chair' him if he does not will probably result in him taking part in the end - our political punters certainly believe it will' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

IF THERE'S AN EU REFERENDUM, WHO'LL WIN?

With a YouGov poll suggesting some 45% of potential voters in an in/out EU Referendum would be inclined to vote to remain in, William Hill have cut the odds for that outcome from 4/7 to 1/2, and lengthened the odds for a 'Quit' result from 5/4 to 6/4. Hills are offering 1/2 that there will NOT be such a Referendum before 2019; and 6/4 that there WILL be one.

'Whether there will actually be an in/out EU Referendum and what the result of it would be, still divides political opinion, but our betting suggests that an EU Referendum before 2019 is far from guaranteed.' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

RIFKIND SEAT SURE TO STAY TORY - BUT BY WHAT MAJORITY?

William Hill make the Conservatives overwhelming favourites at 1/100 stake £100, to win £1) to retain Malcolm Rifkind's Kensignton constituency- but whether they will do so with an increased majority is another matter - and Hills are 7/2 (stake £2 to win £7) that they will win by over 8616 votes, and 1/6 to do so with that number or fewer.

GREEN NATALIE 9/2 TO QUIT FOLLOWING ‘CAR CRASH’ INTERVIEW
FOLLOWING her embarrassing interview with LBC’s Nick Ferrari, Natalie Bennett, leader of the Green Party is quoted at 9/2 by William Hill to stand down from that position before the General Election, and 1/8 to remain in situ.

Ms Bennett is quoted at 28/1 to win the Holborn & St Pancras constituency where she is standing for election.

WILLIAM HILL OFFER 6/4 THAT THE GREENS WILL WIN NO SEATS AT ALL AT THE
GENERAL ELECTION; 10/11 JUST ONE; 4/1 TWO OR MORE.

GENERAL ELECTION OUTCOME...1/5 Hung Parliament; 4/1 Con-LD Coalition; 9/2 Coalition involving SNP; 9/2 Con minority govt; 5/1 Labour minority govt; 11/2 Con majority; 11/2 Lab-LD coalition; 7/1 Coalition involving Ukip; 9/1 Lab majority; 20/1 Coalition involving Greens; 33/1 Con-Lab coalition; 50/1 Ukip majority; 500/1 Lib Dem majority.

TO BE LARGEST SINGLE PARTY....8/13 Conservatives; 5/4 Labour; 33/1 Ukip; 400/1 Lib Dems.

Further information….graham sharpe (William Hill Media Relations Director)…0780 3233702

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