ROMFORD VOTE SHARE 2014 (Will this be the next TORY defector seat?)

 Who is the next Conservative defector from this list? <<< link to list which has two Tory MPs who have already defected and a list of more who may in the future

Andrew Rosindell - Romford Conservative MP would he be the next to defect?

Havering which Romford is part of showed the highest share of the vote for UKIP

Havering over all was

UKIP 27.17%
Conservatives 23.66%
Labour 14.07%

2014 Local council elections for the wards of Romford

Total for the wards which make up Romford (difference from 2010 General Election)

Conservatives 13,485 - 40.1% (-15.9%)
UKIP 10,359 - 30.8% (+26.4%)
Labour 5,742 - 17.1% (-2.4%)
INDY 1,722 - 5.1%
Greens 1,328 - 4%
LibDems 984 - 2.9% (-9.1%)

33,620 votes cast

Brooklands

Conservatives 1,758
UKIP 1,469
Labour 1,147
Indy 245
LibDem 171

Havering Park

Conservatives 1,787
UKIP 1,527
Labour 656
Green 149
LibDem 90

Hylands

Conservatives 1,596
UKIP 1,346
Labour 449
Greens 285
LibDems 68

Mawneys

Conservatives 2,028
UKIP 1,753
Labour 827
LibDems 190

Pettits

Conservatives 2,102
UKIP 1,498
Labour 942
LibDems 105

Romford Town

Conservatives 2,067
Indy 1,477
UKIP 1,467
Labour 1,118
Greens 639
LibDems 255

Squirrals Heath

Conservatives 2,147
UKIP 1,299
Labour 603
Greens 255
LibDems 105

 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Romford

  Prediction: CON hold 

MP: Andrew Rosindell  (CON)
County/Area: (North London)
Electorate: 71,193
Turnout: 65.29%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	26,031	56.00%	49.05%
LAB	9,077	19.53%	25.98%
LIB	5,572	11.99%	0.73%
MIN	2,438	5.25%	5.25%
UKIP	2,050	4.41%	14.69%
OTH	1,313	2.82%	4.30%
CON Majority	16,954	36.48%	Pred Maj 23.07%

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Romford

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Romford, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.

Romford			Est. 2010 General Election Results					Predicted Results
District	Ward	Electorate 2010	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes
Havering	Brooklands	10,920	3,569	2,028	1,533	0	7,130	3,126	2,695	93	1,216	7,130
Havering	Havering Park	9,277	3,527	819	687	1,024	6,057	3,089	1,203	42	1,724	6,058
Havering	Hylands	9,677	3,206	1,035	836	1,242	6,319	2,808	1,454	51	2,006	6,319
Havering	Mawneys	9,524	3,215	1,287	707	1,009	6,218	2,816	1,664	43	1,696	6,219
Havering	Pettits	9,720	3,658	808	752	1,129	6,347	3,204	1,219	46	1,878	6,347
Havering	Romford Town	12,185	4,568	1,953	624	811	7,956	4,001	2,361	38	1,556	7,956
Havering	Squirrel's Heath	9,889	4,288	1,148	434	585	6,455	3,756	1,481	26	1,192	6,455
	Total	71,192	26,031	9,078	5,573	5,800	46,481	22,800	12,077	339	11,268	46,484

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.