Sunday 13 July 2014

Survation New Scottish Independence Polling Results

In conjunction with Daily Record, Dundee University and Better Nation we have new Scottish Independence Referendum polling out today.

Full tables for the questions released today can be found here:

Here's a summary of the results compared to our June omnibus in (brackets) and one of the supplementary questions.
 
Independence Referendum
(Unrounded)
Yes - 40.9% (38.8%)
No - 46.0% (44.4%)
Undecided - 13.2% (16.7%)
 
Rounded:
Yes - 41%
No - 46%
Undecided - 13%
 
Excluding undecided (unrounded):
Yes - 47.1% (46.6%)
No - 52.9% (53.4%)
 
Excluding undecided (rounded)
Yes - 47%
No - 53%
 
Scottish Parliament constituency vote (ex DK/Ref)
LAB: 31%
CON: 13%
SNP: 44%
LD: 5%
AP (net): 7%

Scottish Parliament list vote (ex DK/Ref)
LAB: 26%
CON: 13%
SNP: 37%
LD: 7%
GRN: 8%
UKIP:  8%
AP (net): 1%
 
Westminster vote (ex DK/Ref)
LAB: 27%
CON: 14%
SNP: 31%
LD: 4%
AP (net): 6%

Which of the following best reflects your experience during the campaign so far?*

I have had a disagreement or fallen out with a family member, friend or work colleague over the referendum debate – 21%

I have not had a disagreement or fallen out with a family member, friend or work colleague over the referendum debate – 79%
 

Referendum
%
Change  June to July
Yes
41
+2
No
46
+2
Undecided
13
-4
Lead
5
-1
     
Yes (excl. DK)
47
+1
No (excl. DK)
53
-1
Lead
6
no change
 

Scottish parliamentary elections – constituency vote (excl. DK/Refused/Undecided)
%
Change
CON
13.3
NC
LAB
30.6
+2
LD
5.1
-1
SNP
44.1
-2
Another party (net)
6.9
+1

Scottish parliamentary elections – constituency vote
 
Change
CON
10.8
NC
LAB
24.9
+2
LD
4.1
-1
SNP
35.9
-1
Another party (net)
5.6
+1
Undecided
18.0
-1
Refused
0.6
NC


Scottish parliament – regional list vote (excl. DK/Refused/Undecided)
%
Change
CON
12.9
+3
LAB
25.7
-1
LD
7.3
+1
SNP
36.9
-2
UKIP
8.1
-1
Scottish Green Party
8.1
-2
Another party (Net)
0.9
NC


Scottish parliament – regional list vote
%
Change
CON
10.5
+2
LAB
20.9
NC
LD
5.9
+1
SNP
30.0
-1
UKIP
6.6
-1
Scottish Green Party
6.6
-1
Another party (Net)
0.7
NC
Undecided
17.9
-3
Refused
0.9
NC

Westminster vote (excl. DK/Refused/Undecided)
%
Change
CON
17.1
+2
LAB
33.1
+1
LD
4.7
NC
SNP
37.8
-2
Another party (net)
7.3
-1

Westminster vote
%
Change
CON
14.1
+2
LAB
27.3
+1
LD
3.9
NC
SNP
31.2
-2
Another party (net)
6.0
-1
Undecided
17.1
NC
Refused
0.5
NC

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