Monday 10 March 2014

General Election Prediction

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Current Prediction: Labour majority 58

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON36.97%30732.13%243
LAB29.66%25837.03%354
LIB23.56%57 9.59%21
UKIP 3.17%013.85%0
NAT 2.26%9 2.86%13
MIN 4.37%19 4.53%19
Prediction based on opinion polls from 01 Feb 14 to 28 Feb 14, sampling 10,100 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Conservative majority
7%
Labour majority
73%
Con/Lib coalition
4%
Lab/Lib coalition
10%
Lib choice of coalition
0%
No overall control
7%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.

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