Monday 28 January 2013

Cameron only swayed the don't knows not UKIP voters

CLICK HERE FOR YOU GOV POLL
 AFTER CAMERONS SPEECH

CLICK HERE FOR YOU GOV POLL
 BEFORE CAMERONS SPEECH


It seems everyone was looking at how Camerons in/out referendum pledge took voters away from UKIP but what it seemed to have done is take away voters from the don't know section.

If you look at the section where it asks who did you vote for before it was 13% tory who were now UKIP voters. In the poll taken afterwards the share had actually gone up to 15% Tories now voting UKIP.

The ones Cameron who had seemed to have wooed was the not going to vote which fell from 4% to 1% and the don't knows from 13% to 12%

He had also managed to take 4% from the Labour vote pile but this was only not noticed by Labour because they had taken twice as many from the Lib Dems.

Labour voters in 2010 who are now calling themselves Tory voters was at 2% this went up to 6% after the speech But Lib Dems in 2010 but Labour today went from 36% up to 44%

If the Tories are to win the next election they need to take more from the Labour and Lib Dems because the Tories actually lost 2% of former lib dem voters with that speech.

In summary its not UKIPers Cameron got but the floaters.

The real worries in all this though should be the Lib Dems because they are losing people to everyone. What will Clegg pull out of the bag to get the 44% of voters he has lost to Labour?

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